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Ontario iGaming Market Intelligence

Ontario GGR sustains 22% YoY growth through February 2026 despite seasonal MoM pullback

Ontario iGaming Market
FY25/26-Q4
Report v18
Updated Apr 19, 2026
High Confidence

Powered by Predictively · Independent iGaming data analytics · predictively.ca

Key Trend Indicators
YoY GGR
+22.2%
Latest month GGR moved +22.2% year over year.
YoY wagers
+22.5%
Cash wagers changed +22.5% year over year.
MoM GGR
−14.7%
Month-over-month GGR shifted -14.7%.
QTD GGR
+22.2%
QTD GGR for first 2 months of FY25/26-Q4 moved +22.2%…
Data-Driven

Key Market Trends

4 indicators
Visualised

Trend Velocity

Relative magnitude
YoY GGR
+22.2%
YoY wagers
+22.5%
MoM GGR
-14.7%
QTD GGR
+22.2%
Computed

Market Momentum

Net trend direction
+52.2
Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
3
Positive Trends
avg +22.3%
1
Negative Trends
avg -14.7%
4
Total Indicators
FY25/26-Q4
At a Glance

Key Metrics

+22.2%
YoY GGR
Latest month GGR moved +22.2% year over year.
+22.5%
YoY wagers
Cash wagers changed +22.5% year over year.
-14.7%
MoM GGR
Month-over-month GGR shifted -14.7%.
+22.2%
QTD GGR
QTD GGR for first 2 months of FY25/26-Q4 moved +22.2% versus same 2 months of FY24/25-Q4 (prior year).
Intelligence

Market Signals

6 signals
Capture March sports betting surge
Opportunity High
Deepen casino VIP retention
Opportunity High
Test ARPPA optimization levers
Opportunity Medium
Hold rate compression
Risk Medium
Promotional cost escalation
Risk Medium
Regulatory tightening
Risk Low
Methodology

Analysis based on iGO-published Ontario market data through February 2026. QTD figures compare first 2 months of FY25/26-Q4 to first 2 months of FY24/25-Q4 on a like-for-like YoY basis. MoM and rolling trend signals derived from 47 months of continuous monthly data. No operator-level splits are inferred.

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